Top Ten Smart Money Moves – March 16, 2018

Smart Money Moves_Final

Top Ten Smart Money Moves, starting January 2015, is the official trading newsletter of The Responsible Trader to promote his advocacy, Responsible Trading. This newsletter contains the previous day’s data from PSE, the Top Ten Foreign Buying and Selling, Top Ten in Total Traded Value, including Trading Notes based on the data of the previous day. This newsletter is given free to all the friends of The Responsible Trader and to members of the Facebook group and the other organizations where he is a member. For the previous issue where complete details about the newsletter was fully discussed, please refer to: Daily Top Tens October 17, 2014.

 

Trading Notes for Today – (Based on March 16, 2018 Data)

Total Traded Value – PhP 19.698 Billion – High
Advances Declines – (Ideal is 2:1) 139  Declines vs. 75 Advances  = 1.85:1 Neutral
Total Foreign Buying  PhP 13.475 Billion
Total Foreign Selling – (PhP 15.996) Billion
Net Foreign Buying (Selling) – (PhP 2.521 Billion) – 19th day of Net Foreign Selling after a day of Net Foreign Buying

Data from the Philippine Stock Exchange

PSE-20180316

Screenshot courtesy of: www.pse.com.ph

PSE HEAT MAP

PSE Heat Map-20180316

Screenshot courtesy of PSEGET

Top Ten Foreign Buying and Selling

FBS-20180316

Top Ten in Total Traded Value

TTV-20180316

Top Ten Gainers and Losers

TTGL-20180316

From now on, I will just quote the related article from Business World so that we will have everything in one piece:

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Shares seen to decline ahead of Fed, BSP reviews

March 18, 2018 | 7:42 pm

SHARES may move lower this week, with investors focusing on separate policy meetings by the United States Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the local central bank as the two regulators discuss the effects of inflation on their respective markets.

BW-20180316

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) closed 0.58% higher at 8,238.15 last Friday, although falling by 1.6% or 134 points on a weekly basis, pulled down by holding firms and industrials which dipped 2% and 1.8% week on week, respectively.

Foreign investors recorded net sales of P6.56 billion last week, which Eagle Equities, Inc. Research Head Christopher John Mangun attributed to window dressing ahead of the holidays.

“We may continue to see the market take a loss, but I think we will see a reversal sometime in the second quarter,” Mr. Mangun said in a research note.

Should the main index continue moving downward, the market could officially record a correction, which is defined as 10% drop. The PSEi has fallen as much as 9.58% from its high of 9,058 last Jan. 29 to 8,190.01 on March 15.
This week, the focus will be on FOMC’s meeting on March 20-21, as well as the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) meeting on March 22.

“It is a known fact that US firms have yet to adjust to the corporate income tax cut in their financial track, while local companies also adjust on the initial phase of the tax reform agenda,” online brokerage firm 2TradeAsia.com said in a weekly report.

The online brokerage noted that should the Fed cut their interest rates by 25 basis points, the focus will then revert to the dollar given the Trump administration’s support for a stronger currency.

“At home, the recent cut in reserve requirement has yet to be fully absorbed in the system and is likely to be offset by an expected kick in borrowing demand. While the market has seen upward adjustment in rates, significant spikes are not yet in the cards as rates have bottomed already,” 2TradeAsia.com said.

The BSP last month lowered the reserve requirement ratio for big banks to 19% from 20%, releasing some P90 billion in extra liquidity into the financial system.

More firms are set to release their 2017 earnings results this week. In the lineup for analysts’ briefings this week are Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp. on Monday, Cebu Landmasters, Inc. on Tuesday, and ABS-CBN Corp. on Friday.
Eagle Equities’ Mr. Mangun placed the index support at 8,792 to as low as 8,090, while resistance is from 8,360 to 8,465.

The S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials rose on Friday, boosted by strong industrial output numbers, though all three of Wall Street’s major indexes posted losses for the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 72.85 points or 0.29% to 24,946.51; the S&P 500 gained 4.68 points or 0.17% to 2,752.01; and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.25 point to 7,481.99.

For the week, the Dow fell 1.57%; the S&P lost 1.04%; and the Nasdaq dropped 1.27%. — Arra B. Francia with Reuters

Source: http://bworldonline.com/shares-seen-decline-ahead-fed-bsp-reviews/

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1. The Book: “The Responsible Trader – a Thinking Person’s Guide for Trading the Philippine Stock Market” now earned the name “The Bible of Philippine Trading.” You can download Chapter 1, Section 1 of the book here: http://theresponsibletrader.com/the-responsible-trader-hope-for-trading-knowledge-test/. For those interested in the hard copy, please send email to: ninjatrader919@gmail.com Subject: The Responsible Trader – Hard Copy.

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Good luck on all your TRADES today.

DISCLAIMER There is a very high degree of risk involved in TRADING. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Nothing contained in this newsletter constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, PROMOTION or endorsement of any security. In accordance with the Responsible TRADER’s Creed: I will never tell and you take full responsibility for all your TRADING results

NOTES: Please take note of the following changes. Effective August 6, 2015: 1. Caption Market Breadth has been changed to Total Traded Value to simplify the presentation. 2. Market Breadth is expressed in terms of Number of Advances and Declines. Expressing this as a Ratio by using the larger number as Numerator we derive the Market Sentiment whether Bullish or Bearish. 3. Based on Past three-year data of Average Total Traded Values, following classifications will be used to make the presentation more relevant to present times. a. Low – Total Traded Value less than PhP 8 Billion b. Medium – Total Traded Value Php 8 Billion but not more than P15 Billion c. High – Total Traded Value more than Php 15 Billion.

Starting with August 11, 2017 data we are including the Top Ten Gainers and Losers for a more comprehensive coverage of significant stock movements during the day.

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