Top Ten Smart Money Moves – March 6, 2020
Top Ten Smart Money Moves, starting January 2015, is the official trading newsletter of The Responsible Trader to promote his advocacy, Responsible Trading. This newsletter contains the previous day’s data from PSE, the Top Ten Foreign Buying and Selling, Top Ten in Total Traded Value, including Trading Notes based on the data of the previous day. This newsletter is given free to all the friends of The Responsible Trader and to members of the Facebook group and the other organizations where he is a member. For the previous issue where complete details about the newsletter was fully discussed, please refer to: Daily Top Tens October 17, 2014.
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As promised in my last post, Back from the Hack, we are resuming all our activities both in our website and Facebook starting August 1, 2019.
This section of our website has been running for the past five years. Perhaps you are asking, why Top Ten Smart Money Moves? This is what I have written in my new book: “Swing Trading with TRT – A Definitive Guide for Swing Trading the Philippine Stock Market.”
“SMART MONEY
The PSE achieved a milestone by the end of the year 2018 when they reported that the number of stock market accounts broke past the one million mark as a result of the substantial increase in online accounts.
Retail investors owned most of the stock market accounts, representing 97.5% of the total accounts while the remaining 2.5% is held by the institutional investors also considered as smart money.
While we, the retail traders, are big in number, we are small in terms of influence in the stock market because more than 50% of the Total Traded Value Daily is accounted for the institutional investors whose transactions are focused mostly on a handful of their selected stocks.
In our Website, we have a regular feature “Top Ten Smart Money Moves” where we monitor the Top Ten stocks being bought and sold by the smart money.
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Trading Notes for Today – (Based on March 6, 2020 Data)
Total Traded Value – PhP 5.885 Billion – Low
Advances Declines – (Ideal is 2:1) 45 Advances vs. 138 Declines = 3.07:1 Bearish
Total Foreign Buying PhP 3.330 Billion
Total Foreign Selling – (PhP 3.601) Billion
Net Foreign Buying (Selling) – (PhP0.271) Billion – first day of Net Foreign Selling after a day of Net Foreign Buying
Data from the Philippine Stock Exchange
Screenshot courtesy of PSE.com.ph
PSE HEAT MAP
Screenshot courtesy of PSEGET
Top Ten Foreign Buying and Selling
Top Ten in Total Traded Value
Top Ten Gainers and Losers
From now on, I will just quote the related article from Business World so that we will have everything in one piece:
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PSEi to move sideways ahead of earnings reports
March 9, 2020 | 12:01 am
By Denise A. Valdez
Reporter
THE MAIN INDEX is seen to keep moving with uncertainty this week due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, but a possible catalyst will be the release of earnings of index heavyweights.
Despite seeing three consecutive days of increase last week, the 30-member Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) slumped 114.39 points or 1.66% on Friday to close at 6,770.38.
This is equivalent to a 0.26% reduction on a week-on-week basis and was the second straight week the PSEi posted a decline.
Value turnover decreased 16% to an average of P6.5 billion. Offshore investors remained sellers, but net foreign selling was trimmed to P500 million from P2.5 billion the week prior.
“Persistent coronavirus fears continued to pall sentiment, as funds assess the fallout to the global economy, even as the widely-followed Fed rate was trimmed by 50 basis points,” online brokerage 2TradeAsia.com said in a market note.
The US Federal Reserve announced an emergency rate cut last week to help cushion the economic impact of COVID-19. This resulted to a rally at Wall Street, which affected other global equities, including the PSEi.
However, the main index retreated on Friday as the Department of Health (DoH) announced two new cases of COVID-19 infections in the Philippines — one of which has no record of overseas travel.
Over the weekend, the DoH said this case is the first case of local transmission of the virus. It also announced the country’s sixth case of COVID-19: the wife of the fifth patient.
“Anxiety is thus not unwarranted at this point, but consideration should be put on whether fundamentals have weakened to irreversibility,” 2TradeAsia.com said.
It added four PSEi members are set to announce their 2019 earnings this week, which may help influence investor sentiment, aside from COVID-19 news. These are Ayala Corp.; San Miguel Corp.; Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc.; and Aboitiz Power Corp.
“So far, 16/30 blue chips (66.5% PSEi weight) have fared well (weighted average EPS growth of 12% for 2019), albeit citing cloudy 2020 operating environment, courtesy of COVID-19,” the brokerage said. EPS, or earnings per share, is the measure of earnings per outstanding share of a company’s stock.
2TradeAsia.com is also expecting the central bank’s Monetary Board meeting on March 19 to result to new measures that will help the market following the Fed’s move.
“The (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) may likely hop in on the easing bandwagon, with more wood to burn for the winter, at least in terms of monetary armament relative to counterparts,” it added.
For the immediate week, the brokerage is putting immediate support for the PSEi at 6,500-6,600 and resistance at 6,850-6,950. “Accumulate gradually on lows, particularly stocks with attractive yields, to hedge holdings amid the rout,” it said.
Source: https://www.bworldonline.com/psei-to-move-sideways-ahead-of-earnings-reports/
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In line with our VISION, A RESPONSIBLE TRADER IN EVERY FILIPINOS HOME, we aim to continue promoting financial literacy on the area of stock market trading and investing to our countrymen both here and abroad through the following:
1. We have successfully launched “Swing Trading with TRT – a Definitive Guide for Swing Trading the Philippine Stock Market” last September 2, 2019. This book is the second in our Responsible Trader Education Series.
You can download Chapter 1 and see the Table of Contents here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NZEABnQMiQ_zenEMs0lPFWweX4WBxBHg/view?usp=sharing
The first book, “The Responsible Trader – a Thinking Person’s Guide for Trading the Philippine Stock Market” provided all the basic knowledge that a trader needs to know in order to trade the Philippine Stock Market effectively and efficiently. The first book is about the basics. This second book is about the specifics.
2. The Book: “The Responsible Trader – a Thinking Person’s Guide for Trading the Philippine Stock Market” now earned the name “The Bible of Philippine Trading.” You can download Chapter 1, Section 1 of the book here: http://theresponsibletrader.com/the-responsible-trader-hope-for-trading-knowledge-test/. For those interested in the hard copy, please send email to: ninjatrader919@gmail.com Subject: The Responsible Trader – Hard Copy.
As requested by those abroad and those who want the book in digital form, we have produced an eBook version. For those interested please send email to: ninjatrader19@gmail.com Subject: The Responsible Trader – eBook Version.
The book can also be ordered online through our publisher, Central Book Supply. Just go to: http://central.com.ph/bookstoreplus then click Search – The Responsible Trader.
3. The Website: :http://www.theresponsibletrader.com where we publish our daily newsletter Top Ten Smart Money Moves, Stock Trading Lessons, and Inspirational Materials. (FREE)
4. The YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/theresponsibletrader – where you can learn the course “Master’s Certificate in Technical Analysis” which was simplified in an easily understood manner. You can download these videos and learn them at your own convenient time. (FREE)
5. My Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/TheResponsibleTrader – where you can view and download copy of the Powerpoint Presentation of my TRT-POV (The Responsible Trader’s Point of View) of the videos posted in our Youtube Channel. (FREE)
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Good luck on all your TRADES today.
DISCLAIMER There is a very high degree of risk involved in TRADING. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Nothing contained in this newsletter constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, PROMOTION or endorsement of any security. In accordance with the Responsible TRADER’s Creed: I will never tell and you take full responsibility for all your TRADING results
NOTES: Please take note of the following changes. Effective August 6, 2015: 1. Caption Market Breadth has been changed to Total Traded Value to simplify the presentation. 2. Market Breadth is expressed in terms of Number of Advances and Declines. Expressing this as a Ratio by using the larger number as Numerator we derive the Market Sentiment whether Bullish or Bearish. 3. Based on Past three-year data of Average Total Traded Values, following classifications will be used to make the presentation more relevant to present times. a. Low – Total Traded Value less than PhP 8 Billion b. Medium – Total Traded Value Php 8 Billion but not more than P15 Billion c. High – Total Traded Value more than Php 15 Billion.
Starting with August 11, 2017 data we are including the Top Ten Gainers and Losers for a more comprehensive coverage of significant stock movements during the day.